Shiny Rattata

[luna]

The chance of catching ANY shiny pokemon is 0.01

quoting sam from the blog:

Sam Otero said...
1 in 10,000 or 0.01%, when a pokemon shows up that can be shiny the game picks a random number from 1-10,000 if it gets a 1 then that pokemon will be shiny. So just because you saw 10,000 pokemon doesn't mean you automatically will see one. You might see one after 5 pokemon or 100 pokemon, it's random

May 5, 2011 12:38 PM

[Gengar]

Yup, what Luna said

[WillHunter]

Nice photo gengar and insane sandslash. i'm after one

[Mysticman89]

May 8, 2011 6:30:35 GMT -5 budgetspaner said:

Best place would be route 2, and it would take days, its a 1/10000 chance. Also if i remember right maths predicts only 37% of people will find it before the first 10,000 .... So ... have fun

37% *won't* find it within 10k, 63% will. Still, you're in for a good couple days most likely.

The chance of a pokemon being shiny is 1 in 10k (aka 0.01%), but since some pokemon are fairly rare you end up spending even longer waiting for you to even get that chance.

[kocunar]

37% + 67% =104% there is 104% of people?

[Mysticman89]

Oops. Arithmetic when tired never has gone well for me. Quantum mechanics and vector calculus is fine, but subtraction, that's hard.

Anyway fixed.

[d3yci]

I still believe that entry in the FAQ wasnt updated and is only ment for pikachu, as i only played for an hour after the update and got 2 shinies and I dont consider myself lucky in life.

[Weedle]

yeah all the simple stuff is hard but the complex stuff is really easy

[Mysticman89]

The not so scrupulous ones who've helped themselves to the code have also confirmed that shinies are indeed 1 in 10k (for all of them, not just pikachu).

The reason that they don't feel like they're that rare is that unlike pikachu who only appears 1% of the time in the first place, the various bugs (and rattata) come dozens at a time with a very high probability on a number of levels, thus allowing people to literally go through thousands in a matter of hours, unlike pikachu where it'd take weeks to see the same amount.

Shiny ekans/sandshrew is probably the hardest new shiny to get, but even that I don't think is quite as rare as pikachu.

[scyther]

i saw a shiny rattata but my normal rattata bit him and then i saw a shiny pidegy and got him soooo that still dose not help.... oh well

[budgetspaner]

woops, my memory has been a little bad recently. i was trying to remember the numbers from that page you showed me Mysticman89

[chaihai]

i want a shiny ratatta:(

[Gengar]

what Mysticman89 said,

Pika appears 1% of the time and metapod appears say 50% of the time, so you are 50 times more likely to get a shiny metapod over a shiny pika when running through VF2

[KindSoul類魂]

Oh god... Lost my hopes on getting a shiny pikachu.
Will wait for challenge levels/trading :3

[Gengar]

also good luck WillHunter